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238 Results

What Work Does Generative AI Do?
Academic

What Work Does Generative AI Do? (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 8, 2026

We measure how workers use genAI for their jobs in a nationally representative survey linking genAI adoption to detailed occupations and tasks. Our data provide the first task-level genAI adoption…

By: Alexander Bick (opens in a new tab), Adam Blandin (opens in a new tab), David Deming (opens in a new tab), Tyler Schumacher (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Housing Wealth Accumulation and Electoral Representation
Academic

Housing Wealth Accumulation and Electoral Representation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers AUG 14, 2026

We document that housing wealth accumulation systematically differs among homeowners by their political participation. Using a nationwide voter-property dataset, we find that realized housing appreciation increases monotonically the more a…

By: Carlos F. Avenancio-León, Yutao He (opens in a new tab), Michael Reher (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Taxation
Barriers to Benefits: Unemployment Insurance Take-Up and Labor Market Effects
Academic

Barriers to Benefits: Unemployment Insurance Take-Up and Labor Market Effects (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAY 19, 2026

Unemployment insurance (UI) take-up is relatively low in the United States. We implement a large-scale field experiment among 50,000 likely unemployed individuals to study the causes and labor supply implications…

By: Casey McQuillan (opens in a new tab), Brendan Moore (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
The Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty
Academic

The Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAR 17, 2026

We develop a novel measure of climate policy uncertainty based on newspaper coverage. Our index spikes during key U.S. climate policy events—including presidential announcements on international agreements, congressional debates, and…

By: Konstantinos Gavriilidis (opens in a new tab), Diego R. Känzig, Ramya Raghavan (opens in a new tab), James H. Stock (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy
The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data
Academic

The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAR 4, 2026

We study the macroeconomic effects of tariff policy using U.S. historical data from 1840–2024. We construct a narrative series of plausibly exogenous tariff changes–based on major legislative actions, multilateral negotiations,…

By: Tamar den Besten (opens in a new tab), Diego Känzig (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility
Academic

Changing Opportunity: Sociological Mechanisms Underlying Growing Class Gaps and Shrinking Race Gaps in Economic Mobility (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 9, 2025

We show that intergenerational mobility changed rapidly by race and class in recent decades and use these trends to study the causal mechanisms underlying changes in economic mobility. For white…

By: Raj Chetty (opens in a new tab), Will Dobbie (opens in a new tab), Benjamin Goldman (opens in a new tab), Sonya R. Porter, Crystal S. Yang

Economic Equity & Opportunity
Extracting O*NET Features from the NLx Corpus to Build Public Use Aggregate Labor Market Data
Academic

Extracting O*NET Features from the NLx Corpus to Build Public Use Aggregate Labor Market Data (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 1, 2025

Data from online job postings are difficult to access and are not built in a standard or transparent manner. Data included in the standard taxonomy and occupational information database (O*NET)…

By: Stephen Meisenbacher (opens in a new tab), Svetlozar Nestorov (opens in a new tab), Peter Norlander (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Fitting the Bill? The First Federal Paid Leave Mandate
Academic

Fitting the Bill? The First Federal Paid Leave Mandate (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 23, 2025

We find that the first federal paid leave mandate in the US, enacted under the Families First Coronavirus Response Act, increased paid leave taking by nearly 200% for eligible workers,…

By: Tanya Byker (opens in a new tab), Elena Patel (opens in a new tab), Kristin Smith (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
In Her Hands: A Guaranteed Income Initiative
Academic

In Her Hands: A Guaranteed Income Initiative (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 4, 2025

In Her Hands (IHH) is a guaranteed income (GI) initiative aimed at addressing persistent economic insecurity among women in neighborhoods with some of Georgia’s highest poverty rates. Co-designed with local…

By: Laura Brugger (opens in a new tab), Shadonna Davis (opens in a new tab), Desha Elliott (opens in a new tab), Leah Hamilton (opens in a new tab), Stephen Roll (opens in a new tab), Latrice Rollins (opens in a new tab), Simone Smith (opens in a new tab), Aaron Quick (opens in a new tab), Naomi Zewde (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security
How are Municipal-Level Fair Workweek Laws Playing Out on the Ground? Experiences of Food Service and Retail Workers in Three Cities
Academic

How are Municipal-Level Fair Workweek Laws Playing Out on the Ground? Experiences of Food Service and Retail Workers in Three Cities (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 24, 2025

An updated version of this paper was posted on December 09, 2025. The first municipal-level law regulating employers’ scheduling practices was enacted in SanFrancisco in 2015. A decade later, ten…

By: Susan J. Lambert, Julia R. Henly, Hyojin Cho (opens in a new tab), Resha Swanson-Varner (opens in a new tab), Yuxi He (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
The Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty
Academic

Americans Informed About the Distributional Effects of Republicans’ Budget Bill Overwhelmingly Oppose It (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUN 25, 2025

Republicans in the Senate are currently considering the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which, if enacted, would be the most regressive U.S. tax and budget law in at least the…

By: Jacob S. Hacker, Patrick Sullivan (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
The Spiderweb of Partnership Tax Structures
Academic

The Spiderweb of Partnership Tax Structures (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers FEB 12, 2025

U.S. partnerships control more than $40 trillion in assets, vastly outnumber U.S. public firms, and contribute significantly to the U.S. tax non-compliance of pass-through entities, which is larger than the…

By: Ryan Hess (opens in a new tab), Emily Black (opens in a new tab), Zaynah Javed (opens in a new tab), Jonathan Hennessy (opens in a new tab), Rebecca Lester (opens in a new tab), Jacob Goldin (opens in a new tab), Daniel E. Ho, Annette Portz (opens in a new tab)

Taxation
Bonus Question: How Does Flexible Incentive Pay Affect Wage Rigidity?
Academic

Bonus Question: How Does Flexible Incentive Pay Affect Wage Rigidity? (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 17, 2024

We introduce dynamic incentive contracts into a model of inflation and unemployment dynamics. Our main result is that wage cyclicality from incentives neither affects the slope of the Phillips curve…

By: Meghana Gaur (opens in a new tab), John Grigsby (opens in a new tab), Jonathon Hazell (opens in a new tab), Abdoulaye Ndiaye (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power Taxation
Is There Too Little Antitrust Enforcement in the US Hospital Sector?
Academic

Is There Too Little Antitrust Enforcement in the US Hospital Sector? (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 24, 2024

From 2002 to 2020, there were over 1,000 mergers of US hospitals. During this period, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) took enforcement actions against 13 transactions. However, using the FTC’s…

By: Zarek Brot-Goldberg (opens in a new tab), Zack Cooper (opens in a new tab), Stuart V. Craig, Lev Klarnet (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism
HBCU Enrollment and Longer-Term Outcomes
Academic

HBCU Enrollment and Longer-Term Outcomes (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 20, 2023

Using data from nearly 1.2 million Black SAT takers, we estimate the impacts of initially enrolling in an Historically Black College and University (HBCU) on educational, economic, and financial outcomes.…

By: Ashley Edwards (opens in a new tab), Justin Ortagus (opens in a new tab), Jonathan Smith (opens in a new tab), Andria Smythe (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity
The Effect of Means-Tested Transfers on Work: Evidence from Quasi-Randomly Assigned SNAP Caseworkers
Academic

The Effect of Means-Tested Transfers on Work: Evidence from Quasi-Randomly Assigned SNAP Caseworkers (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 13, 2023

We provide a comprehensive evaluation of the dynamic labor supply effects of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) for a representative population using novel administrative data and an examiner design.…

By: Jason Cook (opens in a new tab), Chloe N. East

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
How to Fund Unemployment Insurance with Informality and False Claims: Evidence from Senegal
Academic

How to Fund Unemployment Insurance with Informality and False Claims: Evidence from Senegal (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 5, 2023

This paper studies the welfare effects of unemployment insurance (UI) in low-income countries characterized by high levels of informality, weak enforcement of UI claims, and job search frictions. We assess…

By: Abdoulaye Ndiaye (opens in a new tab), Kyle Herkenhoff (opens in a new tab), Abdoulaye Cissé (opens in a new tab), Alessandro Dell’Acqua (opens in a new tab), Ahmadou A. Mbaye

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Antitrust Enforcement Increases Economic Activity
Academic

Antitrust Enforcement Increases Economic Activity (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 13, 2023

We hand-collect and standardize information describing all 3,055 antitrust lawsuits brought by the Department of Justice (DOJ) between 1971 and 2018. Using restricted establishment-level microdata from the U.S. Census, we…

By: Tania Babina (opens in a new tab), Simcha Barkai (opens in a new tab), Jessica Jeffers (opens in a new tab), Ezra Karger (opens in a new tab), Ekaterina Volkova (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism
Local and National Concentration Trends in Jobs and Sales: The Role of Structural Transformation
Academic

Local and National Concentration Trends in Jobs and Sales: The Role of Structural Transformation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 6, 2023

National industrial concentration in the U.S. has risen sharply since the early 1980s, but there remains dispute over whether local geographic concentration has followed a similar trend. Using near population…

By: David Autor (opens in a new tab), Christina Patterson (opens in a new tab), John Van Reenen (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism
Racial Inequality in the U.S. Unemployment Insurance System
Academic

Racial Inequality in the U.S. Unemployment Insurance System (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 19, 2023

The decentralized US unemployment insurance (UI) system lets states decide on key rules. Decentralization could help states efficiently adapt to local economic conditions, but it could also generate racial inequality.…

By: Daphné Skandalis (opens in a new tab), Ioana Marinescu (opens in a new tab), Maxim Massenkoff (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
The Effectiveness of the Food Stamp Program at Reducing Differences in the Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty
Academic

The Effectiveness of the Food Stamp Program at Reducing Differences in the Intergenerational Persistence of Poverty (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAY 30, 2023

This paper investigates the effects of the Food Stamp Program (FSP) on racial disparities in the intergenerational persistence of poverty. We apply staggered difference-in-difference models that exploit variation in the…

By: Benjamin Glasner (opens in a new tab), Ronald B Mincy, Zachary Parolin (opens in a new tab), Christopher Wimer (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security
Power and Dignity in the Low-Wage Labor Market: Theory and Evidence from Wal-Mart Workers
Academic

Power and Dignity in the Low-Wage Labor Market: Theory and Evidence from Wal-Mart Workers (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers DEC 14, 2022

We measure workers’ preferences for wages and non-wage amenities at America’s largest employer, Walmart, using targeted survey experiments. We find that workers have an economically significant willingness to pay for…

By: Arindrajit Dube (opens in a new tab), Suresh Naidu (opens in a new tab), Adam D. Reich

Competition & Economic Dynamism Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Monetary Policy, Labor Income Redistribution and the Credit Channel: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee and Credit Registers
Academic

Monetary Policy, Labor Income Redistribution and the Credit Channel: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee and Credit Registers (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 17, 2022

We document the redistributive effects of monetary policy on labor market outcomes via the credit channel. For identification, we exploit matched administrative datasets in Portugal – employee-employer and credit registers…

By: Martina Jasova (opens in a new tab), Caterina Mendicino (opens in a new tab), Ettore Panetti (opens in a new tab), José-Luis Peydró (opens in a new tab), Dominik Supera (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Global Trends in Income Inequality and Income Dynamics: New Insights from GRID
Academic

Global Trends in Income Inequality and Income Dynamics: New Insights from GRID (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 7, 2022

The Global Repository of Income Dynamics (GRID) is a new open-access, crosscountry database that contains a wide range of micro statistics on income inequality, dynamics, and mobility. It has four…

By: Fatih Guvenen (opens in a new tab), Luigi Pistaferri (opens in a new tab), Giovanni L. Violante

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Families First Coronavirus Response Act: Effect on Paid Leave Taking During the Early Pandemic
Academic

Families First Coronavirus Response Act: Effect on Paid Leave Taking During the Early Pandemic (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 3, 2022

We study the effect of access to Emergency Paid Sick and Family Leave on leave-taking behavior during the early months of the pandemic. We compare monthly paid absence from January…

By: Tanya Byker (opens in a new tab), Elena Patel (opens in a new tab), Kristin Smith (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
The effects of income on the economic wellbeing of families with low incomes: Evidence from the 2021 expanded Child Tax Credit
Academic

The effects of income on the economic wellbeing of families with low incomes: Evidence from the 2021 expanded Child Tax Credit (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 3, 2022

We examine the effects of an unconditional cash transfer on the economic wellbeing (material hardship, ability to meet needs, money on hand, use of friends and family for assistance, and…

By: Natasha Pilkauskas (opens in a new tab), Katherine Michelmore (opens in a new tab), Nicole Kovski (opens in a new tab), H. Luke Shaefer (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security
Understanding Disparities in Unemployment Insurance Recipiency
Academic

Understanding Disparities in Unemployment Insurance Recipiency (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 13, 2022

Using data from before and during the Covid-19 pandemic, we show that the expansion of benefits under the CARES Act only modestly increased self-reported UI recipiency among UI eligible workers,…

By: Eliza Forsythe (opens in a new tab), Hesong Yang (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Black Lives: The High Cost of Segregation
Academic

Black Lives: The High Cost of Segregation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAY 9, 2022

Exploiting the arrangement of railroad tracks in northern cities, we explore the extent to which segregation impacts homicide victimization by race. Our results reveal a robust positive relationship between segregation…

By: Robynn Cox (opens in a new tab), Jamein Cunningham (opens in a new tab), Alberto Ortega (opens in a new tab), Kenneth D. Whaley (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Understanding Climate Damages: Consumption versus Investment
Academic

Understanding Climate Damages: Consumption versus Investment (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 22, 2022

Existing climate-economy models use aggregate damage functions to model the effects of climate change. This approach assumes climate change has equal impacts on the productivity of firms that produce consumption…

By: Gregory P. Casey (opens in a new tab), Stephie Fried (opens in a new tab), Matthew Gibson (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Compensation for Unstable and Unpredictable Work Schedules: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 Cohort
Academic

Compensation for Unstable and Unpredictable Work Schedules: Evidence from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997 Cohort (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 15, 2022

Prior research shows unpredictable and unstable work schedules are associated with negative health, family, and economic outcomes. But little research has examined what, if anything, workers gain from such schedule…

By: Peter J. Fugiel (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Why is Workplace Sexual Harassment Underreported? The Value of Outside Options Amid the Threat of Retaliation
Academic

Why is Workplace Sexual Harassment Underreported? The Value of Outside Options Amid the Threat of Retaliation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers FEB 10, 2022

Why is workplace sexual harassment chronically underreported? We hypothesize that employers coerce victims into silence through the threat of a retaliatory firing. To test this, we estimate how two external…

By: Gordon B. Dahl (opens in a new tab), Matthew Knepper (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Money Matters: Consumption Volatility Across the Income Distribution
Academic

Money Matters: Consumption Volatility Across the Income Distribution (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers FEB 3, 2022

Using the Consumer Expenditure Survey, we document the level and volatility of quarterly consumption across the socioeconomic distribution. While the measurement of well-being is focused on income, the secular and…

By: Jonathan Fisher (opens in a new tab), Bradley L. Hardy

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Support for Paid Family Leave among Small Employers Increases during the COVID-19 Pandemic
Academic

Support for Paid Family Leave among Small Employers Increases during the COVID-19 Pandemic (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JAN 14, 2022

The United States is one of the few countries that does not guarantee paid family leave (PFL) to workers. Proposals for PFL legislation are often met with opposition from employer…

By: Ann P. Bartel, Maya Rossin-Slater (opens in a new tab), Christopher J. Ruhm, Meredith Slopen (opens in a new tab), Jane Waldfogel (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Capital Investment and Labor Demand
Academic

Capital Investment and Labor Demand (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JAN 11, 2022

We study how tax policies that lower the cost of capital impact investment and labor demand. Difference-in-differences estimates using confidential US Census Data on manufacturing establishments show that tax policies…

By: E. Mark Curtis (opens in a new tab), Daniel G. Garrett (opens in a new tab), Eric C. Ohrn, Kevin A. Roberts (opens in a new tab), Juan Carlos Suárez Serrato (opens in a new tab)

Taxation
Falling Rates and Rising Superstars
Academic

Falling Rates and Rising Superstars (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JAN 7, 2022

Do low interest rates contribute to the rise in market concentration? Using data on firm financials and high frequency monetary policy shocks, we find that falling interest rates disproportionately benefit…

By: Thomas Kroen (opens in a new tab), Ernest Liu (opens in a new tab), Atif Mian (opens in a new tab), Amir Sufi (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
The impact of affirmative action litigation on police killings of civilians
Academic

The impact of affirmative action litigation on police killings of civilians (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers DEC 2, 2021

Although research has shown that court-ordered hiring quotas increase the number of minority police officers in litigated cities, there has been little insight into how workforce diversity, or lack thereof,…

By: Robynn Cox (opens in a new tab), Jamein Cunningham (opens in a new tab), Alberto Ortega (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity
Beyond Health: Non-Health Risk and the Value of Disability Insurance
Academic

Beyond Health: Non-Health Risk and the Value of Disability Insurance (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 22, 2021

The public debate over disability insurance has centered on concerns about individuals without severe health conditions receiving benefits. We go beyond health risk alone to quantify the overall insurance value…

By: Manasi Deshpande (opens in a new tab), Lee M. Lockwood (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Wage Posting or Wage Bargaining? A Test Using Dual Jobholders
Academic

Wage Posting or Wage Bargaining? A Test Using Dual Jobholders (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 16, 2021

This paper examines the behavior of dual jobholders to test a simple model of wage bargaining and wage posting. We estimate the sensitivity of wages and separation rates to wage…

By: Marta Lachowska (opens in a new tab), Alexandre Mas (opens in a new tab), Raffaele Saggio (opens in a new tab), Stephen Woodbury (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups
Academic

Diverse Policy Committees Can Reach Underrepresented Groups (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 16, 2021

In a randomized control trial that varies the salience of female and minority representation on the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee, the FOMC, we test whether diversity affects how Fed…

By: Francesco D’Acunto (opens in a new tab), Andreas Fuster (opens in a new tab), Michael Weber (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
How Exceptional is American Job Quality? Decent- and Poverty-Pay Rates by Age, Gender, and Education in the U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, and France*
Academic

How Exceptional is American Job Quality? Decent- and Poverty-Pay Rates by Age, Gender, and Education in the U.S., U.K., Canada, Australia, and France* (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 3, 2021

Social protection for working-age American adults is almost entirely conditional on employment, which makes earnings a particularly important dimension of job quality for workers. This paper employs new indicators (Howell,…

By: David R. Howell

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Temperature, workplace safety, and labor market inequality
Academic

Temperature, workplace safety, and labor market inequality (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 19, 2021

Using data covering the universe of injury claims from the nation’s largest worker’s compensation system (2001-2018), we explore the relationship between temperature and workplace safety and its implications for labor…

By: R. Jisung Park (opens in a new tab), Nora Pankratz (opens in a new tab), A. Patrick Behrer (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Trends in Absolute Income Mobility in North America and Europe
Academic

Trends in Absolute Income Mobility in North America and Europe (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 28, 2021

We compute rates of absolute upward income mobility for the 1960-1987 birth cohorts in eight countries in North America and Europe. Rates and trends in absolute mobility varied dramatically across…

By: Robert Manduca (opens in a new tab), Maximilian Hell (opens in a new tab), Adrian Adermon, Jo Blanden, Espen Bratberg, Anne C. Gielen, Hans van Kippersluis, Keun Bok Lee, Stephen Machin (opens in a new tab), Martin D. Munk, Martin Nybom, Yuri Ostrovsky, Sumaiya Rahman, Outi Sirniö

Economic Equity & Opportunity
Tax Refund Uncertainty: Evidence and Welfare Implications
Academic

Tax Refund Uncertainty: Evidence and Welfare Implications (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 8, 2021

Transfers paid through annual tax refunds are a large but uncertain source of income for poor households. We document that low-income tax-filers have substantial subjective uncertainty about these refunds. We…

By: Sydnee Caldwell (opens in a new tab), Scott Nelson (opens in a new tab), Daniel Waldinger (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Caregiving in a Pandemic: COVID-19 and the Well-being of Family Caregivers 55+ in the U.S.
Academic

Caregiving in a Pandemic: COVID-19 and the Well-being of Family Caregivers 55+ in the U.S. (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 7, 2021

Little is known about the effects of COVID-19 on family caregivers in the US. Using data from a national sample of 2,485 US adults aged ≥55, we aimed to describe…

By: Yulya Truskinovsky (opens in a new tab), Jessica Finlay (opens in a new tab), Lindsay Kobayashi (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Tax Evasion at the Top of the Income Distribution: Theory and Evidence
Academic

Tax Evasion at the Top of the Income Distribution: Theory and Evidence (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAR 22, 2021

This paper studies tax evasion at the top of the U.S. income distribution using IRS micro-data from (i) random audits, (ii) targeted enforcement activities, and (iii) operational audits. Drawing on…

By: John Guyton (opens in a new tab), Patrick Langetieg (opens in a new tab), Daniel Reck (opens in a new tab), Max Risch (opens in a new tab), Gabriel Zucman (opens in a new tab)

Taxation
The Grandkids Aren’t Alright: The Intergenerational Effects of Prenatal Pollution Exposure
Academic

The Grandkids Aren’t Alright: The Intergenerational Effects of Prenatal Pollution Exposure (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers FEB 11, 2021

Evidence increasingly shows that environmental quality shapes human capital at birth with long-run effects on health and welfare. Do these effects, in turn, affect the economic opportunities of future generations?…

By: Jonathan Colmer (opens in a new tab), John Voorheis (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security
Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Family Dynamics in Economically Vulnerable Households
Academic

Impact of the COVID-19 Crisis on Family Dynamics in Economically Vulnerable Households (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers DEC 14, 2020

The COVID-19 crisis and its reverberations resulted in levels of economic distress unprecedented since the 1930s. But COVID was a seismic social shock even for families that lost no income,…

By: Ariel Kalil (opens in a new tab), Susan Mayer (opens in a new tab), Rohen Shah (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
The Effect of Political Power on Labor Market Inequality: Evidence from the 1965 Voting Rights Act
Academic

The Effect of Political Power on Labor Market Inequality: Evidence from the 1965 Voting Rights Act (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 16, 2020

A central concern for racial and ethnic minorities is having an equal opportunity to advance group interests via the political process. There remains limited empirical evidence, however, whether democratic policies…

By: Abhay Aneja (opens in a new tab), Carlos Fernando Avenancio-León (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Do Unemployment Insurance Benefits Improve Match Quality? Evidence from Recent U.S. Recessions
Academic

Do Unemployment Insurance Benefits Improve Match Quality? Evidence from Recent U.S. Recessions (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 29, 2020

Unemployment insurance benefit extensions lengthened the duration of unemployment spells during the Great Recession and previous recessions. In this paper, we present new evidence for the U.S. on the impact…

By: Ammar Farooq (opens in a new tab), Adriana Kugler (opens in a new tab), Umberto Muratori (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
The Impact of COVID-19 on the U.S. Child Care Market: Evidence from Stay-at-Home Orders
Academic

The Impact of COVID-19 on the U.S. Child Care Market: Evidence from Stay-at-Home Orders (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 16, 2020

Stay-at-home orders (SAHOs) have been implemented in most U.S. states to mitigate the spread of COVID-19. This paper quantifies the short-run impact of these containment policies on search behavior and…

By: Umair Ali (opens in a new tab), Chris M. Herbst (opens in a new tab), Christos A. Makridis

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Is the social safety net a long-term investment? Large-scale evidence from the food stamps program
Academic

Is the social safety net a long-term investment? Large-scale evidence from the food stamps program (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAY 11, 2020

We use novel, large-scale data on 43 million Americans from the 2000 Census and the 2001 to 2013 American Communities Survey linked to the Social Security Administration’s NUMIDENT to study…

By: Martha J. Bailey, Hilary W. Hoynes, Maya Rossin-Slater (opens in a new tab), Reed Walker (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security
An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine
Academic

An SEIR Infectious Disease Model with Testing and Conditional Quarantine (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 7, 2020

We extend the baseline Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) infectious disease epidemiology model to understand the role of testing and case-dependent quarantine. Our model nests the SEIR model. During a period of asymptomatic…

By: David Berger (opens in a new tab), Kyle Herkenhoff (opens in a new tab), Simon Mongey (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Whose News? Class-Biased Economic Reporting in the United States
Academic

Whose News? Class-Biased Economic Reporting in the United States (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAR 3, 2020

There is substantial evidence that voters’ choices are shaped by assessments of the state of the economy and that these assessments, in turn, are influenced by the news. But how…

By: Alan M. Jacobs (opens in a new tab), J. Scott Matthews (opens in a new tab), Timothy Hicks (opens in a new tab), Eric Merkley (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Unequally Insecure: Rising Black/White Disparities in Job Displacement, 1981-2017
Academic

Unequally Insecure: Rising Black/White Disparities in Job Displacement, 1981-2017 (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers FEB 13, 2020

Social scientists have documented vast racial disparities in labor market outcomes such as hiring and firing decisions, compensation, and opportunities for occupational advancement. Yet little is known about the racial…

By: Elizabeth Wrigley-Field (opens in a new tab), Nathan Seltzer (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers
Academic

Targeted Debt Relief and the Origins of Financial Distress: Experimental Evidence from Distressed Credit Card Borrowers (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers DEC 4, 2019

We study the drivers of financial distress using a large-scale field experiment that offered randomly selected borrowers a combination of (i) immediate payment reductions to target short-run liquidity constraints and…

By: Will Dobbie (opens in a new tab), Jae Song (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth
Academic

Heterogeneity and Persistence in Returns to Wealth (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 19, 2019

We provide a systematic analysis of the properties of individual returns to wealth using twelve years of population data from Norway’s administrative tax records. We document a number of novel…

By: Andreas Fagereng (opens in a new tab), Luigi Guiso (opens in a new tab), Davide Malacrino (opens in a new tab), Luigi Pistaferri (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
The Long-Term Effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers: Evidence from U.S. Tax Data
Academic

The Long-Term Effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act on Women’s Careers: Evidence from U.S. Tax Data (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 6, 2019

This paper uses IRS tax data to evaluate the short- and long-term effects of California’s 2004 Paid Family Leave Act (PFLA) on women’s careers. Our research design exploits the increased…

By: Martha Bailey (opens in a new tab), Tanya Byker (opens in a new tab), Elena Patel (opens in a new tab), Shanthi Ramnath (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Do Teacher Strikes Make Parents Pro- or Anti-Labor? The Effects of Labor Unrest on Mass Attitudes
Academic

Do Teacher Strikes Make Parents Pro- or Anti-Labor? The Effects of Labor Unrest on Mass Attitudes (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 29, 2019

Strikes are a central tool of organized labor, yet existing research has focused on the economic consequences of strikes, rather than their political effects. We examine how labor actions by…

By: Alexander Hertel-Fernandez (opens in a new tab), Suresh Naidu (opens in a new tab), Adam Reich (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Who Cares if Parents have Unpredictable Work Schedules?: The Association between Just-in-Time Work Schedules and Child Care Arrangements
Academic

Who Cares if Parents have Unpredictable Work Schedules?: The Association between Just-in-Time Work Schedules and Child Care Arrangements (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 16, 2019

Working parents must arrange some type of care for their young children when they are away at work. For parents with unstable and unpredictable work schedules, the logistics of arranging…

By: Kristen Harknett (opens in a new tab), Daniel Schneider (opens in a new tab), Sigrid Luhr (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Hard Times: Routine Schedule Unpredictability and Material Hardship among Service Sector Workers
Academic

Hard Times: Routine Schedule Unpredictability and Material Hardship among Service Sector Workers (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 16, 2019

American policy-makers have long focused on work as a key means to reduce poverty. And yet work has become increasingly precarious and polarized. This precarity is manifest in low wages,…

By: Daniel Schneider (opens in a new tab), Kristen Harknett (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
What Explains Race/Ethnic Inequality in Job Quality in the Service Sector?
Academic

What Explains Race/Ethnic Inequality in Job Quality in the Service Sector? (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 16, 2019

White workers experience significant advantages in the labor market both in hiring and in compensation compared to their non-white peers. Human capital differences and occupational segregation are commonly offered as…

By: Adam Storer (opens in a new tab), Daniel Schneider (opens in a new tab), Kristen Harknett (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Parental Exposure to Routine Work Schedule Uncertainty and Child Behavior
Academic

Parental Exposure to Routine Work Schedule Uncertainty and Child Behavior (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 16, 2019

Parents working in the service sector often face unpredictable work schedules and children exposed to such parental schedules could suffer negative consequences. This paper takes advantage of novel survey data…

By: Daniel Schneider (opens in a new tab), Kristen Harknett (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Use It or Lose It: Efficiency Gains from Wealth Taxation
Academic

Use It or Lose It: Efficiency Gains from Wealth Taxation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers OCT 10, 2019

How does wealth taxation differ from capital income taxation? When the return on investment is equal across individuals, a well-known result is that the two tax systems are equivalent. Motivated…

By: Fatih Guvenen (opens in a new tab), Gueorgui Kambourov (opens in a new tab), Burhan Kuruscu (opens in a new tab), Sergio Ocampo (opens in a new tab), Daphne Chen (opens in a new tab)

Taxation
How U.S. Workers Think About Workplace Democracy: The Structure of Individual Worker Preferences for Labor Representation
Academic

How U.S. Workers Think About Workplace Democracy: The Structure of Individual Worker Preferences for Labor Representation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers AUG 28, 2019

Although never as powerful as in other advanced democracies, unions remain incredibly important economic and political organizations in the United States. Yet we know little about the structure of workers’…

By: Alexander Hertel-Fernandez (opens in a new tab), William Kimball (opens in a new tab), Thomas Kochan (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Imperfect competition, compensating differentials and rent sharing in the U.S. labor market
Academic

Imperfect competition, compensating differentials and rent sharing in the U.S. labor market (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUL 18, 2019

The primary goal of our paper is to quantify the importance of imperfect competition in the U.S. labor market by estimating the size of rents earned by American firms and…

By: Thibaut Lamadon (opens in a new tab), Magne Mogstad (opens in a new tab), Bradley Setzler (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism Labor, Wages & Worker Power
When Dad Can Stay Home: Fathers’ Workplace Flexibility and Maternal Health
Academic

When Dad Can Stay Home: Fathers’ Workplace Flexibility and Maternal Health (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUN 14, 2019

While workplace flexibility is perceived to be a key determinant of maternal labor supply, less is known about fathers’ demand for flexibility or about intra-household spillover effects of flexibility initiatives.…

By: Petra Persson (opens in a new tab), Maya Rossin-Slater (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Disability and distress: The effect of disability programs on financial outcomes
Academic

Disability and distress: The effect of disability programs on financial outcomes (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAR 26, 2019

We provide the first evidence on the relationship between disability programs and markers of financial distress: bankruptcy, foreclosure, eviction, and home sale. Rates of these adverse financial events peak around…

By: Manasi Deshpande (opens in a new tab), Tal Gross (opens in a new tab), Yalun Su (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Who’s afraid of sunlight? Explaining opposition to transparency in economic development
Academic

Who’s afraid of sunlight? Explaining opposition to transparency in economic development (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers FEB 4, 2019

Why do some firms oppose transparency of government programs? In this paper we explore legal challenges to public records requests for deal-specific, company-specific participation in a state economic development incentive…

By: Nathan M. Jensen, Calvin Thrall (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism Labor, Wages & Worker Power
How does market power affect wages? Monopsony and collective action in an institutional context
Academic

How does market power affect wages? Monopsony and collective action in an institutional context (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers DEC 20, 2018

To better understand the theoretical implications of new empirical findings which show that firms have monopsony power, we construct a monopsony-wage-model that integrates strategic interaction between workers and employers in…

By: Mark Stelzner (opens in a new tab), Mark Paul (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Who profits from patents? Rent-sharing at innovative firms
Academic

Who profits from patents? Rent-sharing at innovative firms (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers DEC 18, 2018

This paper analyzes how patent-induced shocks to labor productivity propagate into worker compensation using a new linkage of US patent applications to US business and worker tax records. We infer…

By: Patrick Kline (opens in a new tab), Neviana Petkova (opens in a new tab), Heidi Williams (opens in a new tab), Owen Zidar (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Job quality and the educational gradient in entry into marriage and cohabitation
Academic

Job quality and the educational gradient in entry into marriage and cohabitation (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 27, 2018

Men’s and women’s economic resources are important determinants of marriage timing. Prior demographic and sociological literature has often measured resources in narrow terms, considering employment and earnings and not more…

By: Daniel Schneider (opens in a new tab), Kristen Harknett (opens in a new tab), Matthew Stimpson (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security
Antitrust Remedies for Labor Market Power
Academic

Antitrust Remedies for Labor Market Power (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 25, 2018

Recent research indicates that labor market power has contributed to wage inequality and economic stagnation. Although the antitrust laws prohibit firms from restricting competition in labor markets like in product…

By: Suresh Naidu (opens in a new tab), Eric A. Posner (opens in a new tab), E. Glen Weyl (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Liquidity vs. wealth in household debt obligations: Evidence from housing policy in the Great Recession
Academic

Liquidity vs. wealth in household debt obligations: Evidence from housing policy in the Great Recession (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers SEP 4, 2018

We use variation in mortgage modifications to disentangle the impact of reducing long-term obligations with no change in short-term payments (“wealth”), and reducing short-term payments with approximately no change in…

By: Peter Ganong (opens in a new tab), Pascal Noel (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Returns in the labor market: A nuanced view of penalties at the intersection of race and gender
Academic

Returns in the labor market: A nuanced view of penalties at the intersection of race and gender (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers AUG 7, 2018

There have been decades of research on wage gaps for groups based on their socially salient identities such as race and gender, but little empirical investigation on the effects of…

By: Mark Paul (opens in a new tab), Khaing Zaw (opens in a new tab), Darrick Hamilton (opens in a new tab), William Darity Jr. (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Housing wealth effects: The long view
Academic

Housing wealth effects: The long view (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUN 19, 2018

We provide new, time-varying estimates of the housing wealth effect back to the 1980s. We exploit systematic differences in city-level exposure to regional house price cycles to instrument for house…

By: Adam M. Guren (opens in a new tab), Alisdair McKay (opens in a new tab), Emi Nakamura (opens in a new tab), Jón Steinsson (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
The distributional effects of minimum wages: Evidence from linked survey and administrative data
Academic

The distributional effects of minimum wages: Evidence from linked survey and administrative data (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAY 15, 2018

States and localities are increasingly experimenting with higher minimum wages in response to rising income inequality and stagnant economic mobility, but commonly used public datasets offer limited opportunities to evaluate…

By: Kevin Rinz (opens in a new tab), John Voorheis (opens in a new tab)

Labor, Wages & Worker Power
New technologies and the labor market
Academic

New technologies and the labor market (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAY 1, 2018

Using newspaper job ad text from 1960 to 2000, we measure job tasks and the adoption of individual information and communication technologies (ICTs). Most new technologies are associated with an…

By: Enghin Atalay (opens in a new tab), Phai Phongthiengtham (opens in a new tab), Sebastian Sotelo (opens in a new tab), Daniel Tannenbaum (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power
Estimating the marginal propensity to consume using the distributions of income, consumption, and wealth
Academic

Estimating the marginal propensity to consume using the distributions of income, consumption, and wealth (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers APR 19, 2018

Recent studies of economic inequality almost always separately examine income inequality, consumption and wealth inequality, and hence, these studies miss the important synergy between the three measures explicit in the…

By: Jonathan Fisher (opens in a new tab), David Johnson (opens in a new tab), Jonathan Latner (opens in a new tab), Timothy Smeeding (opens in a new tab), Jeffrey Thompson (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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