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Policy

What happens to U.S. workers without access to Unemployment Insurance amid economic downturns or disruptions related to AI? (opens in a new tab)

Essays SEP 2, 2026

The adoption of artificial intelligence in the workplace has led to predictions of U.S. labor market disruptions. In response, policymakers have increased attention on the fitness of the nation’s social…

By: Megan Rivera (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Watch Now: Defining extreme wealth is more complicated than it looks (opens in a new tab)
Policy

Defining extreme wealth is more complicated than it looks (opens in a new tab)

Videos AUG 13, 2026

Facing high levels of income and wealth inequality and shrinking tax revenues, U.S. policymakers are showing increased interest in proposals to tax the richest households. Yet determining which households fall into that category is complex and changes based…

By: Equitable Growth (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
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Policy

Estimating AI exposure is useful for research but cannot yet tell policymakers the whole story of AI’s impact on the labor market (opens in a new tab)

Essays AUG 7, 2026

Artificial intelligence has the potential to substantially change the nature and availability of work. To effectively manage the transitions this technology might bring to the U.S. economy, policymakers need information…

By: Chiara Chanoi (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Personal Income in the United States nudges up in May but is down 0.76 percent in the past 6 months (opens in a new tab)

Essays JUN 25, 2026

According to today’s release of Personal Income estimates from the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. household incomes have fallen 0.76 percent in the past 6 months, with month-to-month declines…

By: Austin Clemens (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

What is the relationship between inflation, interest rates, and economic growth, and what does it mean for the new Federal Reserve chair? (opens in a new tab)

Issue Briefs MAY 18, 2026

Since regaining the Oval Office in early 2025, President Donald Trump has repeatedly called for lower interest rates and severely criticized former Federal Reserve Board Chair Jerome Powell’s cautious approach…

By: Jacob Robbins (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data
Academic

The Macroeconomic Effects of Tariffs: Evidence From U.S. Historical Data (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers MAR 4, 2026

We study the macroeconomic effects of tariff policy using U.S. historical data from 1840–2024. We construct a narrative series of plausibly exogenous tariff changes–based on major legislative actions, multilateral negotiations,…

By: Tamar den Besten (opens in a new tab), Diego Känzig (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
ASSA 2026 Round-up: Day 2
Policy

ASSA 2026 Round-up: Day 2 (opens in a new tab)

Blog JAN 5, 2026

Yesterday was the second day of the 2026 annual meeting of the Allied Social Science Associations, which is organized by the American Economic Association. The 3-day conference, held in Philadelphia…

By: Equitable Growth (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Competition & Economic Dynamism Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
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Policy

What impact is artificial intelligence having on the U.S. labor market and the nation’s economy? (opens in a new tab)

Essays NOV 14, 2025

As new and groundbreaking technologies emerge, they can function as a blank canvas onto which people project both aspirations and anxieties. Artificial intelligence—despite its quick uptake in broader society and…

By: Megan Rivera (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Competition & Economic Dynamism Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Distributional weighting in benefit-cost analysis is practical and effective at assessing government rulemaking without bias against low-income individuals
Policy

Distributional weighting in benefit-cost analysis is practical and effective at assessing government rulemaking without bias against low-income individuals (opens in a new tab)

Reports NOV 13, 2025

Distributional weighting in benefit-cost analysis is a tool for overcoming bias against lower-income individuals in economists’ measurements of the net benefit of government policies that affect populations at different levels…

By: Daniel Acland (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Republican reconciliation bill’s cuts to social programs will damage some congressional districts’ local economies (opens in a new tab)

Essays JUL 11, 2025

In a recent working paper, Equitable Growth grantee Robert Manduca of the University of Michigan, Ann Arbor demonstrates that government transfers make sizable contributions to local economies in much of…

By: Chiara Chanoi (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Americans informed about the distributional effects of Republicans’ tax and budget bill overwhelmingly oppose it (opens in a new tab)

Essays JUL 3, 2025

Republicans in the U.S. Senate recently passed a version of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, championed by President Donald Trump. The House of Representatives passed an earlier version of…

By: Jacob Hacker (opens in a new tab), Patrick Sullivan (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
The Macroeconomic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty
Academic

Americans Informed About the Distributional Effects of Republicans’ Budget Bill Overwhelmingly Oppose It (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers JUN 25, 2025

Republicans in the Senate are currently considering the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which, if enacted, would be the most regressive U.S. tax and budget law in at least the…

By: Jacob S. Hacker, Patrick Sullivan (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
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Policy

Medicaid and SNAP cuts in congressional Republicans’ budget bill will negatively impact local economies (opens in a new tab)

Essays JUN 24, 2025

The budget reconciliation bill recently passed by the U.S. House of Representatives proposes to make large cuts to Medicaid, the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, and other social programs to pay…

By: Robert Manduca (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
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Policy

More accurately measuring economic sentiment will help build a U.S. economy—and democracy—that works for all (opens in a new tab)

Blog MAY 13, 2025

When politicians and members of the media discuss the state of “the economy” in the United States, they often use a small handful of data points. Of all the indicators…

By: Jonathan Cohen (opens in a new tab), Katherine Cramer (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Political Economy & Democracy
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Policy

“Econ 101” briefing on taxing multinationals brings Hill staffers up to speed on U.S. role in coordinating global crack-down on tax avoidance (opens in a new tab)

Blog APR 3, 2025

The Washington Center for Equitable Growth last week hosted a briefing for Capitol Hill staffers on multinational corporate tax trends and policies—another in our “Econ 101” series for Hill staffers.…

By: Elena Patel (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
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Policy

A researcher’s guide to identifying policy-relevant research questions for the federal government (opens in a new tab)

Essays MAY 30, 2024

Social science researchers play an important role in the policymaking process. Researchers help policymakers at all levels of government to understand key trends and issues in the U.S. economy and…

By: Alexander Hertel-Fernandez (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Equitable Growth delivers economist sign-on letter and comment letter to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs on its Proposed Revisions to Circular A-4, Regulatory Analysis
Policy

Equitable Growth delivers economist sign-on letter and comment letter to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs on its Proposed Revisions to Circular A-4, Regulatory Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Issue Briefs JUN 20, 2023

This post has been updated to reflect that Equitable Growth’s economist sign-on letter, not our comment letter, was submitted to regulations.gov due to an administrative submission error. The Washington Center…

By: Equitable Growth (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Money for nothing: The Qualified Small Business Stock capital gains exclusion is a giveaway to wealthy investors, startup founders, and their employees
Policy

Money for nothing: The Qualified Small Business Stock capital gains exclusion is a giveaway to wealthy investors, startup founders, and their employees (opens in a new tab)

Issue Briefs JUN 8, 2023

The Qualified Small Business Stock exclusion, enshrined in Section 1202 of the Internal Revenue Code, permits early-stage venture capital firms and angel investors in high-tech startups, those startups’ founders, and…

By: Manoj Viswanathan (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Proposed update to federal cost-benefit analysis guidelines correctly focuses on accounting for inequality in regulations
Policy

Proposed update to federal cost-benefit analysis guidelines correctly focuses on accounting for inequality in regulations (opens in a new tab)

Issue Briefs MAY 23, 2023

The White House last month unveiled a proposed update to an obscure but highly influential government document called the Circular A-4, which governs how the federal government conducts regulatory cost-benefit…

By: David S. Mitchell (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

The importance of the American Rescue Plan for U.S. workers and families on the law’s second anniversary, in 8 charts (opens in a new tab)

Blog MAR 10, 2023

Tomorrow marks 2 years since the American Rescue Plan Act was signed into law. One year after the COVID-19 pandemic that began in early 2020 triggered enormous employment losses and…

By: Carmen Sanchez Cumming (opens in a new tab), Raksha Kopparam (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

U.S. income and wealth inequality are no longer increasing, but a return to the equitable levels of the mid-20th century isn’t likely anytime soon (opens in a new tab)

Blog JAN 17, 2023

Five or 6 years ago, economists and pundits frequently debated whether the incomes of low- and middle-class households in the United States were stagnating. I wrote about it, and I…

By: Austin Clemens (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

A missed opportunity to expand the Child Tax Credit will affect U.S. families and the broader economy now and for years to come (opens in a new tab)

Blog DEC 21, 2022

Earlier this week, the U.S. Congress released its proposed omnibus bill that funds the federal government through September 2023 and makes various other reforms to the nation’s retirement system, antitrust…

By: Equitable Growth (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
New digital tools demonstrate the promise of measuring well-being in the United States
Policy

New digital tools demonstrate the promise of measuring well-being in the United States (opens in a new tab)

Blog DEC 21, 2022

This summer, the Washington Center for Equitable Growth partnered with New America, the Justice, Health & Democracy Impact Initiative at Harvard University, and the U.S. Departments of Commerce and the…

By: Elizabeth Garlow (opens in a new tab), Austin Clemens (opens in a new tab), Anthony Guidotti (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
A review of federal lending to small business owners of color during the COVID-19 pandemic
Policy

A review of federal lending to small business owners of color during the COVID-19 pandemic (opens in a new tab)

Reports DEC 13, 2022

The COVID-19 pandemic that began in early 2020 hammered small businesses across the globe. The number of active businesses declined precipitously, supply chain interruptions reduced business operations, and global trade…

By: Rachel Marie Brooks Atkins (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Early evidence on federal government income supports for U.S. individuals, workers, and families during the COVID-19 pandemic
Policy

Early evidence on federal government income supports for U.S. individuals, workers, and families during the COVID-19 pandemic (opens in a new tab)

Reports DEC 13, 2022

This report focuses on preliminary research surrounding the three largest income support programs totaling $1.6 trillion that were paid directly to U.S. individuals, workers, and families amid the first two…

By: Alex Bell (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

How the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 is promoting sustainable U.S. economic growth and mitigating climate change (opens in a new tab)

Issue Briefs NOV 18, 2022

In an issue brief earlier this year, Equitable Growth discussed how the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 rests on sound economic principles and analyzed the ways that its…

By: Michael Madowitz (opens in a new tab), Shaun Harrison (opens in a new tab)

AI, Tech & Energy Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Monetary Policy, Labor Income Redistribution and the Credit Channel: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee and Credit Registers
Academic

Monetary Policy, Labor Income Redistribution and the Credit Channel: Evidence from Matched Employer-Employee and Credit Registers (opens in a new tab)

Working Papers NOV 17, 2022

We document the redistributive effects of monetary policy on labor market outcomes via the credit channel. For identification, we exploit matched administrative datasets in Portugal – employee-employer and credit registers…

By: Martina Jasova (opens in a new tab), Caterina Mendicino (opens in a new tab), Ettore Panetti (opens in a new tab), José-Luis Peydró (opens in a new tab), Dominik Supera (opens in a new tab)

Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
Library of Congress
Policy

What federal statistical agencies can do to improve survey response rates among Hispanic communities in the United States (opens in a new tab)

Blog OCT 14, 2022

Between 2010 and 2020, the Hispanic American population grew 23 percent, making it one of the fastest-growing communities in the United States. According to the 2020 decennial census, Hispanic Americans…

By: Raksha Kopparam (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Equitable Growth provides comments to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis on its new distributing personal income report (opens in a new tab)

Blog OCT 5, 2022

In December 2021, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis released a report that studied the feasibility of releasing its distributing personal income product on a quarterly basis. This feasibility study…

By: Equitable Growth (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Policymakers can still use American Rescue Plan funds to bolster the U.S. child care system and ensure it has a strong future (opens in a new tab)

Blog SEP 20, 2022

In January, the 118th Congress will draw to a close following a productive session that saw legislative action on pandemic relief, infrastructure investments, manufacturing and research incentives, and critical investments…

By: Sam Abbott (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Watch Now: Better data collection can help lift the LGBTQ+ community out of economic hardship in the United States (opens in a new tab)
Policy

Better data collection can help lift the LGBTQ+ community out of economic hardship in the United States (opens in a new tab)

Videos SEP 15, 2022

Over the past 2-plus years amid the COVID-19 pandemic, widespread evidence has underscored the reality that various communities and demographic groups in the United States experience socioeconomic hardships differently. Numerous…

By: Raksha Kopparam (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Measuring spending inequality in the United States in real time (opens in a new tab)

Blog SEP 8, 2022

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and the resulting recession in 2020, followed by a swift U.S. economic recovery, offer lessons today about why real-time data are so crucial to…

By: Loujaina Abdelwahed (opens in a new tab), Jacob Robbins (opens in a new tab), Cole Campbell (opens in a new tab), Shogher Ohannessian (opens in a new tab), Todd Czurylo (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
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Policy

Why the Inflation Reduction Act is key to strong, broad-based U.S. economic growth (opens in a new tab)

Blog AUG 16, 2022

The Inflation Reduction Act spells good news for the U.S. economy. The newly signed legislation makes historic investments to combat climate change, lower healthcare costs, and crack down on tax…

By: David S. Mitchell (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Shutterstock
Policy

How to stop a recession by strengthening income supports in the United States (opens in a new tab)

Blog AUG 15, 2022

Income support programs, such as Unemployment Insurance and the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, are powerful tools to deploy when the threat of recession looms and unemployment climbs. By providing income…

By: Alix Gould-Werth (opens in a new tab)

Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Shutterstock
Policy

The economic evidence behind the Inflation Reduction Act and why it will boost strong, broad-based economic growth (opens in a new tab)

Blog AUG 5, 2022

The Inflation Reduction Act spells good news for the U.S. economy. The proposed legislation now before the U.S. Senate would make historic investments to combat climate change, lower healthcare costs,…

By: David S. Mitchell (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Household Economic Security Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement
Shutterstock
Policy

Taxing the rich: The effect of tax reform and the COVID-19 pandemic on tax flight among U.S. millionaires (opens in a new tab)

Blog JUL 28, 2022

Taxing the rich is one of the central policy debates in this time of rising inequality. Elite taxation can change the distribution of income in society, support equitable growth, and…

By: Cristobal Young (opens in a new tab), Ithai Lurie (opens in a new tab)

Economic Equity & Opportunity Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
NBER Summer Institute 2022 Round-up: Week 2
Policy

NBER Summer Institute 2022 Round-up: Week 2 (opens in a new tab)

Blog JUL 26, 2022

On July 11, the National Bureau of Economic Research kicked off its summer institute, an annual 3-week conference featuring discussions and paper presentations on various topics in economics, including disaggregating…

By: Equitable Growth (opens in a new tab)

Competition & Economic Dynamism Economic Equity & Opportunity Labor, Wages & Worker Power Macroeconomics & Economic Measurement Taxation
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