The deeper argument at the heart of the federal budget debate
Reports OCT 5, 2026
By: Michael Linden
JUL 1, 2025
By: Daniele Caratelli and Basil Halperin
We analytically characterize optimal monetary policy in a multisector economy with menu costs and contrast it with the textbook New Keynesian model based on Calvo pricing. Following a sectoral productivity shock, the textbook model prescribes zero inflation, providing a formal justification for inflation targeting. In contrast, under menu costs, policy should “look through” sectoral shocks and allow inflation to move inversely with output. We provide sharp intuition for this result: stabilizing inflation causes shocks to spill over across sectors, forcing firms to adjust unnecessarily. Finally, in a quantitative model, moving from inflation targeting towards optimal policy improves welfare by 0.32%.
Reports OCT 5, 2026
By: Michael Linden
Essays SEP 22, 2026
By: Christopher Bangert-Drowns
Essays SEP 2, 2026
By: Megan Rivera
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