What happens to U.S. workers without access to Unemployment Insurance amid economic downturns or disruptions related to AI?
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SEP 11, 2019
Unbound: How Inequality Constricts Our Economy
Heather Boushey
California Future of Work Commission
September 10, 2019
On Sept. 10, 2019, Heather Boushey, president and CEO of the Washington Center for Equitable Growth, participated in a discussion hosted by California Gov. Gavin Newsom as part of his Future of Work Commission. Below are her written remarks.
We are currently experiencing the longest economic recovery in U.S. history, but the gains from that economic growth—the money in peoples’ pockets—aren’t being shared. That hurts families and the long-term trajectory of our economy.
The top-line economic markers signal to policymakers that our economy is growing—indicators such as a historically low unemployment rate and annual Gross Domestic Product growth of around 2 percent—and that real wage growth has begun to pick up in recent months. But it’s also true that wages are not growing commensurate with a tight labor market and that the fruits of our economic growth, in terms of both income and wealth, are diverging sharply.
The Federal Reserve Board’s new Distributional Financial Accounts and the latest research by University of California, Berkeley economists Emmanuel Saez and Gabriel Zucman document that income inequality is historically high, and wealth inequality is outpacing it.1123
Inequality hurts economic growth and mobility. Growth has slowed since 1980, and average people no longer share in the growth we do have. The bottom 50 percent (opens in a new tab) of the population has the same inflation-adjusted pretax income that they did in 1980, and lower absolute mobility (opens in a new tab) means that people born in 1980 now have only a 50 percent chance of surpassing their parents’ income.1124
Inequality constricts growth by:
Emblematic of these impediments to more broad-based economic growth today is the monopoly power problem—one that exacerbates inequality, contributes to wage stagnation, limits entrepreneurship, increases the cost of living, and stifles innovation. This affects the U.S. labor market in three interconnected ways:
Yet policymaking over the past several decades has been moving in the wrong direction. Specifically:
We have an opportunity right now to take a step back to look at the scale and scope of the problems and develop real solutions. We need an economic policy agenda that supports families and builds a strong economy. Policies must fit the scale and scope of today’s problems.
There are fast-growing jobs—in the provision of childcare and eldercare, in healthcare, and education, for example—that face a lower risk of worker displacement by technology. Yet workers in many of these jobs have little to no bargaining power and access to few benefits. In 2018, the median hourly wage for personal care workers (opens in a new tab) in California was $11.80—significantly lower than the state median wage of $20.40. About 6 in 10 childcare workers (opens in a new tab) in California earn so little that they qualify for public assistance.1127
The effect automation and artificial intelligence will have on workers are important challenges. But the way we as a society respond to them will be determined by the power arrangements in place in the labor market.
Workers’ voices need to be heard to balance the potential negative consequences of automation and AI. Worker input can shape the implementation of new technology, so that its consequences are more equitable for workplace dynamics and production processes, and help workers share in the gains of growth.
And fundamental to addressing abusive labor practices associated with the problem of fissuring in the workplace are the continual goals of the U.S. labor movement. These include higher minimum wages and union representation in addition to enforcement and expansion of workplace protections such as schedule stability protections, paid family and medical leave, and paid sick leave.1128
Policymakers should also design and fully embrace policies to eliminate discrimination in the labor market. Policymakers can start by measuring the structural problems—collecting firm-specific employment and pay data by gender, race, and ethnicity.
It is vitally important to think about the “future of work,” but we can and must prepare for the jobs of now.
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